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GSI Survey Results Predicts Adeleke’s victory in 2026 Guber
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A recent survey conducted by the Geopolitics Survey International (GSI) has revealed that Governor Ademola Adeleke will emerge victorious in the forthcoming Osun 2026 Governorship Election on the platform of Accord.
GSI in a statement by its Programme Officer, Adetokun Adeola noted that the survey which was conducted for one month across the nine federal constituencies was focused on 5 key areas which included asking the respondents on who they will vote for.
The statement noted that, 79 percent of sampled respondents said they will vote Adeleke while 15 percent selected Oyebamiji, the remaining 6 percent opted for Najeem Salam while adding that most respondents on this question cited Adeleke’s exceptional performance in office as the reasons for their choice while the same percentage listed their voices against Oyebamiji on the ground of his past anti- labour stance, being part of failed APC regime of the past and his alleged involvement in the ongoing illegal extension of tenure across Osun local governments.
The statement reads, “Our agency, the Geopolitics Survey International (GSI) conducted a month-long survey across the nine federal constituencies of Osun state on the controversies rocking the leadership of the local governments.
“200 survey participants were selected per federal constituencies while in the capital city of Osogbo an additional 300 residents were selected. The total number of respondents were two thousand and one hundred (2,100).
“For the gender of the respondents, 60 percent were female while 40 percent were male. As for the demographic, 55 percent were under 45 years while the rest were 45 years and above.
“Five questions were put to the respondents in an oral approach conducted by three field workers per federal constituencies between December 2nd, 2025 to January 2nd, 2026.
“The questions are as follows; Which party has a legitimate claim to the leadership of Osun local Governments – APC or PDP?; The APC chairmen still have a tenure across the Local governments-Yes/No?; Who is to be blamed for the current crisis at the local government- APC or PDP?; Will the situation across the councils affect your voting behaviour-Yes/No?; Who would you vote for if the governorship election were to be held today in Osun state – Adeleke or Najeem or Ambo?
“An analysis of the respondents showed a strong and consistent pattern as follows:
“On question one, 80 percent of respondents said PDP has a legitimate claim to the local government leadership, citing election of February 22, 2025 and the expiration of any claim to tenure by the APC in October 2025. 20 percent claimed APC has a rightful claim to the local government leadership;
“On question two, 80 percent of the respondents rejected the claim that APC still has a claim to the local government leadership, mentioning the continued occupation as illegality and blaming the police for aiding and supporting continued occupation of the local government secretariats by the APC chairmen;
“On question three, 75 percent of the respondents blamed the APC while another 20 percent blamed the police. Five percent blamed the PDP for remaining docile and for refusing to confront the Presidency and the APC;
“On question four, 65 percent of the respondents said the paralysis of the local government will impact their voting choice in future Osun elections while 35 percent mentioned other factors as the performance of the state government;
“On number 5 question, 79 percent of sampled respondents said they will vote Adeleke if an election were to be held today; 15 percent selected AMBO ; while 6 percent opted for Najeem. Most respondents on this question cited Adeleke’s exceptional performance in office as the reasons for their choice while the same percentage listed their voices against AMBO on the ground of his past anti- labour stance, being part of failed APC regime of the past and his alleged involvement in the ongoing illegal extension of tenure across Osun local governments.
“There is a three percent margin of error. This is the 10th survey result since the GSI launched its operations in Osun state in early 2024.”
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